Avalanche nears key breakdown level that could sink AVAX price by another 65%

cointelegraph.com:

Avalanche (AVAX) gained 0.5% to reach over $31 on May 23 but AVAX price remains trapped inside a trading range that appears like a "bear pennant" structure.

Bear pennants are bearish continuation patterns, i.e., they resolve after the price breaks out of them to the downside and then—as a rule of technical analysis—falls by as much as the height of the previous downtrend, also called "flagpole."

AVAX is nearing a technical breakdown as its price moves toward the pennant's apex, i.e., the point where its upper and lower trendlines converge.

This paints the bearish target for the AVAX/USD pair at $11.50 by June 2022, down about 65% from today's price, as shown below.

Conversely, AVAX's breakdown setup toward $11.50 could fell short due to certain key support areas.

For instance, the Avalanche token's volume profile shows it trading near its point of control (POC)—the level where the traders were most active since 2021—around $32.

Interestingly, the level was instrumental in capping AVAX's downside attempts in the August-September 2021 session; it preceded a 390% bull run, which saw AVAX reaching its record high of around $150 in late November 2021.

The POC level also served as a median during the consolidation trend witnessed between January 2021 and May 2021. Now, It holds as a price floor even as AVAX eyes the bear pennant breakdown, as discussed above.

Meanwhile, creating a Fibonacci retracement graph from AVAX's $2.75-swing low to $97.50-swing high shows AVAX consolidating between its 0.618 Fib line (near $40) and 0.786 Fib line (around 23), as shown below. 

That raises Avalanche's possibility of retesting $23 as support, followed by a rebound move toward $40. Such a move would risk invalidating the bear pennant setup.

Today,