Bitcoin short-term holders 'panic' amid nearly 100% unrealized loss
Bitcoin (BTC) speculators are in “panic” mode as nearly all of them are in the red, research says.
In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain,” analytics firm Glassnode revealed 97.5% unrealized losses among Bitcoin’s short-term holders (STHs).
BTC price action in recent months has tested the resolve of investors, but none more so than those who bought BTC over the past three months.
STHs, which correspond to entities hodling coins for 155 days or less, have seen their aggregate cost basis fail as market support.
As Glassnode notes, as of Sep. 17, the cost basis for those not spending BTC is now $28,000 — around 5% above current spot price.
As part of its research, the firm separated the STH cohort into holders and spenders, discovering “a relationship between abrupt changes in implied (unrealized) profitability and the shift in spending by STHs (realized profitability).”
The result, it says, is what it calls a “non-trivial change in sentiment.”
“From this perspective, we can see that the cost basis of STHs who are spending fell below the cost basis of holders as the market sold off from $29k to $26k in mid-August,” “The Week On-Chain” explained.
The findings chime with the overall sense of caution among Bitcoin traders and analysts, with many predicting a test of lower levels still to come.
Related: What volatility? Bitcoin price dismisses FOMC, Mt. Gox with $26.7K dip
Opinion is far from unanimous, however, as optimists eye a change of fortunes for BTC price performance beginning in Q4.
As Cointelegraph reported earlier this week, meanwhile, classic sentiment gauge, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, remains only modestly bearish at current price levels.
Nonetheless, for STHs, the threat of permanent loss
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