ETH derivatives show pro traders are worried about Ethereum’s $2.5K support
Ether (ETH) investors are having a rough time in 2022, with ETH accumulating 25% losses year-to-date as of March 17. Still, the cryptocurrency has bounced multiple times near $2,500 over the past couple of months, signaling a solid support level.
On March 15, Ethereum developer Tim Beiko announced that the Kiln testnet — formerly Ethereum 2.0 — successfully passed the Ethereum “Merge.” The process involves taking Ethereum’s Execution Layer from the existing proof-of-work layer and merging it with the Consensus Layer from the Beacon Chain. The end goal is to turn the blockchain into a proof-of-stake network.
The United States Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) increased interest rates to 0.50% on March 16 — the first such move since 2018. The monetary authority warned of persisting “upward pressure on inflation,” precisely the problem that cryptocurrencies’ digital scarcity aims to solve.
Investors fear that further rate hikes by the FOMC could have negative consequences on risk markets. For example, a higher cost of borrowing reduces economic stimulus, creating a hurdle for businesses’ expansion and consumer spending.
Regardless of its potential, Ether’s 80% historical volatility shifts most investors’ perception to see it as a risky asset that will inevitably succumb to an eventual broader market correction.
To understand how professional traders are positioned, one should look at Ether’s futures and options market data. Firstly, the basis indicator measures the difference between longer-term futures contracts and the current spot market levels.
The annualized premium of Ether futures should run between 5% and 12% to compensate traders for “locking in” the money for two to three months until the contract expires. Levels
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