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Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by a narrow 1% margin, according to the latest figures from Polymarket’s 2024 Election Forecast on Tuesday.
The prediction market shows Harris with 50% of the total vote, while Trump closely follows with 49%.
The current Polymarket forecast indicates that 75% of participants predict Harris will win the popular vote, while only 24% believe Trump will emerge victorious.
Harris’s lead comes after her announcement of candidacy in July, following U.S. President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race.
This has propelled her forward in the prediction markets, especially over the summer.
While Harris maintains her edge, Trump has managed to regain ground, thanks in part to his family’s newly launched cryptocurrency platform, World Liberty Financial.
Trump’s stance on blockchain and cryptocurrency has resonated with voters.
Over the summer, he emphasized his intention to implement crypto-friendly regulations at the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville.
“We will have regulations, but from now on, the rules will be written by the people who love your industry, not hate your industry,” Trump said.
He also committed to removing U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Gary Gensler, criticizing the current approach to digital asset regulation during the launch of his family’s crypto project earlier this month.
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